Brain dump on Alaska’s AK STAR results, EED, ED (educational dysfunction), and Moneyball

The Alaska EED just released the 2023 AK Star test results. This is the big, annual “high stakes” test that Alaska uses these days. It was first used in 2022, and we’re just now finishing the testing here in April, 2024. I can’t understand why on earth it took a YEAR to release the results from last April’s testing. It’s an online test for 99% of the kids, so the scores should be available like within hours. I think us teachers first gained online access to the results in the summer of 2023, but only for our own students.

Summarizing the article, with LKSD’s results added:
• 32% of Alaska students tested were proficient in language arts. (3.7% in LKSD, 4.1% in 2022)
• 32% of Alaska students tested were proficient in math. (4.2% in LKSD, 2% in 2022)

As the article noted:

In January, the Alaska Board of Education approved lowering the standards of what’s considered proficient, citing the fact that Alaska had set the bar unusually high compared to other states.

This means that the apparent improvement in LKSD’s math proficiency might just be reflective of a lower standard. : – ( Or a combination of improvement and a lower standard. And it makes our slight dip in reading proficiency somehow even more horrifying. This all falls in line with what feels to some of us in the trenches as a tremendous lack of urgency in LKSD, from top to bottom. Everything is on fire, and it kind of feels like business as usual. Even on a micro-level at our village, things have been very rough in our school in terms of weak leadership that keeps turning over, and a total dearth of supervision & support from the top. And it is very frustrating when it feels like we care a LOT more about this than anyone at the district office. This extends to the state as a whole in a less urgent sense, with so little support for education reform and funding. Some conservatives want drastic reforms (aka “accountability”) without funding, and some in the education establishment just want funding without reform. Both positions are indefensible, but defended in the shrillest terms nonetheless.

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The one other thing I want to remember to mention in regard to last year’s STAR test results is a little wonky. OK, a lot wonky. The other big test we do in the fall and the winter (Aug & Jan) is the MAP test, in math, reading, and language usage. The MAP is made by the NWEA, and I believe the AK STAR is, too. But the AK Star has TWO tests (Reading, Math), and sometimes science (5th, 8th, 10th grades only). The test experience feels pretty similar, but the rules are more strict for the April AK STAR test because it is the one “high stakes” test that is going to be used as the official yardstick to measure progress. Anyway, the NWEA gives school districts access to MAP growth reports that we can use to check on the progress/performance of individual students, classrooms, grades at a school, entire school, entire district, entire state, etc. And the NWEA (or someone) translates the spring AK STAR test results into the familiar “RIT Scores” that kids get on the MAP tests. That means they look at their AK STAR results on 2 tests, and translate that somehow to an equivalent score on the MAPS 3 tests. The thing is, that translation, from the 2023 AK STAR test window, was crazy. It showed tons of our kids with gigantic leaps in their scores, in all 3 areas on the MAP growth reports. Like unprecedented, impossible leaps. Kids who have scored at the first percentile all of their lives, suddenly at the 16th percentile or something. And then in the fall when we did the usual MAP testing, all of their scores shot back down to normal. And I don’t mean a few of our kids, I mean like half or more of them. So in short, those translations were bassura!

For me, as a bit of a data nerd, this is very basic information that districts should be using for a hundred things, such as noting the rate at which students meet or exceed their projected growth on one of the 3 tests for a given teacher, and if that is a pattern, using that data to identify teachers who are having a big impact, for better or worse. If LKSD is doing that, I haven’t heard anything about it. But why not?? I did my own homemade version for myself and my own students, and my goal was always to beat the projected growth for my class as a whole, something that LKSD teachers obviously generally fail to do given our overall test scores. I’m proud that I accomplished that. And I’ve seen other teachers who consistently bring their kids way up, and these are kids who have had precious little growth for years, so it’s a big deal. And of course I’ve seen teachers who are not so great. I asked our district test coordinator one time for the average lexile (reading level) for LKSD’s kids, by grade. The NWEA MAP growth reports give an estimate of every kid’s lexile, based on their reading test results. So I have to think that the admins should be able to get an average for any classroom, school, or the whole district, by grade. But he said there was no such report, that he knew of. So either there is a report and he, the district test coordinator, is unaware of it, or he’s right, and the NWEA is failing to provide a super basic way of evaluating our students and a way to monitor progress/growth on a macro level. Either of those 2 scenarios is hard for me to believe, but I don’t really see a more likely third alternative.

SO, I guess the last 2 paragraphs were trying to express 2 concerns. The data we’re being given from the AK STAR testing seems suspect, at least when we try to tie it in to our tri-annual testing regime. Which prevents us from getting a fuller picture of how a single student or teacher is doing. And secondly, I have a sense of dread that school district leadership, and probably even the EED itself, seems to be doing very little with the mountains of data that are available to them. I’m a baseball fanatic, and sabrmetricians use baseball data to continually refine how the game is played and evaluated, and it has generally led to dramatically better teams. That was led from the top down (data guys convinced GMs and ownership), and it faced significant resistance from the old guard (scouts, old-school GMs who were not easily convinced, not into data, etc). Where is the equivalent data-driven revolution / reform (“moneyball”) for the educational establishment?

“I hope a little truth will go a long way”

This truth SO needs to be said. In a civil way that people can hear and see. Good for this judge for doing his part.

Prediction – A Fool’s Errand

Humans are bad at predicting things. But I have a bold prediction that I’m committing to internet immortality with this post. I predict BOTH of the major candidates for President will pass away from natural causes prior to the general election on Nov 5, 2024. Much is made about Joe Biden’s age and declining vigor, but Trump is no spring chicken either, and he’s significantly overweight. Both of them are under lots of stress. I don’t see this as actually that unrealistic. I wonder what odds an actuary (or the prediction markets) would give. I’m guessing like a 2% chance (50:1 odds) or something. And boy howdy, could we all use the political “reset” it would give. I’m not saying I’m rooting for them to die. But I am praying for a peaceful solution to the antipathy and polarization we seem to be stuck in. This season of arguing over what is real vs fake news, shouting over one another with dueling, simplistic narratives, and seeing our neighbors as “the enemy” — I think most of us are ready for it to be over. And most people don’t want Biden OR Trump. Have thine own way, Lord.

civic engagement

I was trying to zoom through this article, and then hit this quote and thought it was a typo. Nope.

“It is terribly important to be a disengaged citizen, and indeed, a disengaged student,” said David Randall, research director at the National Association of Scholars, a conservative organization that created the standards last year.

Interrobang???!!!

I think I need to learn more about this because…that makes zero sense to me. “If I were you, and you were me, would we still be doomed, to disagree?”

Science of Reading

I want to remember this article, so this is my bookmark. I’m totally on board with the need for reforming how we teach reading. Yes, yes, yes, amen! I think phonics, in particular where I live and teach, is crucial for literacy. But I would also stress this small part of the article:

“There is also the danger of overemphasizing phonics. To establish true literacy, students need to be able to not only sound out words, but also read quickly and build enough vocabulary and background knowledge for comprehension.

Another risk: impatience.

When Mississippi improved reading scores in 2019, it was touted as a “miracle.” In fact, progress came over many years, with systemic reform that included sending literacy coaches to the state’s lowest-performing schools.

“I don’t want the science of reading to be the shiny object — ‘look here, look here,’” said Jack Silva, the chief academic officer in Bethlehem, Pennsylvania, an early adopter of the science of reading. “You forget the hard work that it takes to implement.”

In his district, principals were trained first, then teachers, grade by grade. Eight years later, training is now underway for middle and high school principals…”

We need ALL of the 5 essential components/elements of reading. As I was taught them, here they are: phonemic awareness, phonics, fluency, vocabulary, comprehension. Roughly in that order. And I would add background knowledge. I’m not getting into defining these terms in this post, you can easily google it and learn. But for my students, they’re lacking in all 5 of these, and while we need to provide systematic and direct phonics instruction, for sure, that alone won’t lead to fluently-reading kids who love books. You may have come across a person who can decode quickly, and even read fairly fluently, but they have little comprehension because they lack the vocabulary and necessary background knowledge that the author is assuming they have. We need all of the essential components, and that starts with phonemic awareness and talking to our kids as babies.

truth and propaganda

This is a brutal story that describes the lengths our brains will go to in order to prop up a lie that is central to our identity or how we make sense of the world. I wonder how I do something similar, in more mundane parts of my life?

Coveting Oil from ANWR

This is a different idea. I think he has a compelling argument.

USPS 2022 dimensional surcharges – FEES!

Nerd out! This is a post just for me to remember the details on how big a box can be before they hit you with the new extra fees. See here for info. To sum up:

• Parcels with any side longer than 22 inches but less than 30 inches will see a $4.00 surcharge.
• Parcels with any side that exceeds 30 inches in length will incur a $15.00 surcharge.
• Parcels that measure greater than 2 cubic (3456 cubic inches) feet will also see a $15.00 fee added.

When measuring, round UP to the nearest quarter inch. So the old days of Pete finding the biggest box they would allow and filling it with cereal and clothing and mailing it – that’s over due to the $34 surcharge it would get hit with, taking the postage cost from around $24 to $58.

I did some experimenting, and the biggest cube you can mail without the extra fees is 15x15x15 (1.95 cubic feet) costs $25.45. Then it goes up by $15. It stays at this tier until you hit 22x22x22. 21x21x21 costs $40 for 40 pounds. 28x20x20 is the same price as 21x21x21. 30x20x20 costs $71.35.

A home depot “small” box is 17x11x11.5 (1.24 cubic feet), and at 40 pounds costs $25.45. A Lowe’s “medium” box is 18x18x16 (5,184 cubic inches and 3 cubic feet, and therefore costs $40.45 for 40 pounds. You would have to cut it down to 18x18x10 to avoid the $15 surcharge for 2+ cubic feet.

Eyes peeled for a stash of boxes that are 1.95 cubic feet. : – )

Lots of screen time is sub optimal

This isn’t terribly surprising, but worth noting. Noted.

Modern Slavery

This is so brutal. It reminds me that there is a real person behind those scam calls. Must read article from the LA Times. More coverage, with actual video of a mass breakout here. Super disturbing stuff, and puts my “problems” in perspective.